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Thursday, 29 January 2026

Perverse Incentives (Part 2): How Good Intentions Go Bad




In the first post of this series, I introduced the idea of perverse incentives — situations where rules, rewards, or pressures push individuals or institutions to act in ways that ultimately harm the very people or outcomes they were meant to serve.

The concept is simple but powerful.

When incentives are misaligned, rational people will pursue their own interests in ways that produce irrational outcomes for society. Importantly, this does not require bad people or evil intent. Quite often, it is entirely predictable behaviour responding to a flawed system.

Perverse incentives sit quietly beneath many of today’s most contentious issues: political dysfunction, declining trust in institutions, poor public policy outcomes, and social fragmentation. They are rarely discussed because doing so often exposes uncomfortable truths about how our systems really work.

To make this concrete, below is a non-exhaustive list of perverse incentives operating across politics, law, media, business, academia, and public administration. The examples are varied, but the pattern is consistent.


A Catalogue of Perverse Incentives

Person / GroupPerverse IncentiveConsequence for Society
Elected politiciansPrioritise re-election over long-term policyShort-termism, growing debt, unresolved structural problems
Judges elected by votersAppease public opinion to win votesCompromised justice and unequal application of the law
Political partiesPander to vocal minorities for electoral gainPolicy capture and loss of majority representation
BureaucratsAvoid risk to protect careersInaction, box-ticking, and policy paralysis
Public servantsSpend full budgets to avoid future cutsWasteful or unnecessary expenditure
Media outletsMaximise clicks and outragePolarisation, misinformation, loss of trust
JournalistsAlign with ideological peersHomogenised narratives and suppressed dissent
UniversitiesChase government funding and rankingsIdeological conformity, erosion of academic freedom
AcademicsPublish fashionable conclusionsBiased research and declining credibility
NGOs / advocacy groupsInflate crises to secure fundingDistorted priorities and perpetual alarmism
CorporationsFocus on quarterly earningsUnderinvestment in innovation and workforce
CEOsInflate share price for bonusesLong-term damage to company health
Tech platformsOptimise engagement algorithmsAddiction, social division, radicalisation
Social media influencersReward controversy over accuracyCultural coarsening and misinformation
Activist organisationsEscalate demands to remain relevantSocial division and zero-sum politics
Law enforcement leadershipManage optics over enforcementDeclining public confidence and deterrence
Human rights bodiesExpand mandates to justify existenceMission creep and politicisation of rights
Welfare systemsDisincentivise work unintentionallyLong-term dependency and intergenerational poverty
Immigration policymakersMaximise intake without integrationSocial fragmentation and infrastructure strain
International institutionsAvoid accountability to member statesDemocratic deficit and public disengagement

None of these outcomes are mysterious. They follow directly from the incentives in place.

When judges must campaign, justice becomes political.
When media revenue depends on outrage, outrage becomes the product.
When institutions are rewarded for expansion rather than outcomes, they expand — regardless of effectiveness.

The tragedy is that these systems often began with good intentions. Transparency. Representation. Compassion. Inclusion. Yet without careful incentive design, good intentions can rot into harmful results.

The uncomfortable implication is this: many of our social problems persist not because we lack solutions, but because powerful actors benefit from the status quo.

In the next post in this series, I will turn to the harder question: how do we reduce or neutralise perverse incentives without creating new ones? That is where reform becomes difficult — and unavoidable.

Understanding the problem is the first step. Fixing incentives is the only path forward.

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