As negotiations between the United States and Iran continue, we are once again hearing familiar promises. Iran insists its nuclear program is peaceful. Western diplomats speak of progress. Commentators talk about a "historic opportunity" for peace.
Forgive me if I don't break out the champagne.
The latest article from the Gatestone Institute, "Why Any Deal with Iran Is a Mistake," raises serious concerns about the wisdom of trusting the Iranian regime. The authors point to Iran's continued sponsorship of terrorist proxies across the Middle East, its hostility towards Israel, and its long history of deception regarding its nuclear ambitions.
But perhaps the biggest question is the simplest:
Why should anyone trust Iran this time?
This is not a regime with a spotless record of honouring agreements. Quite the opposite. Over decades, Iran has repeatedly concealed nuclear activities, obstructed inspections, ignored international obligations, and used negotiations to buy time. Every new agreement seems to be accompanied by promises that this time things will be different.
Yet somehow they never are.
If a person repeatedly breaks contracts, lies about their intentions, and ignores previous commitments, sensible people stop trusting them. Why should nation states behave differently?
The supporters of a new deal argue that diplomacy is preferable to conflict. In principle, they are right. Nobody wants another war in the Middle East.
But diplomacy only works when both parties negotiate in good faith.
The Iranian regime has demonstrated time and again that its strategic objective is survival of the regime and expansion of its influence throughout the region. It funds and arms proxies from Lebanon to Yemen. It routinely threatens Israel with destruction. It continues to enrich uranium at levels far beyond what would be required for a purely civilian nuclear program.
Against that backdrop, simply signing another piece of paper is not a solution.
The strongest card the United States currently holds is not a military one.
It is economic.
The sanctions regime and the effective blockade of Iran's oil exports have created a powerful chokehold on the regime's finances. Oil exports are the lifeblood of Iran's economy. Every barrel prevented from reaching international markets limits the regime's ability to fund its military ambitions and its network of regional proxies.
Why would Washington surrender that leverage before receiving what it wants?
The answer should be obvious.
It shouldn't.
Any sanctions relief should come only after Iran has physically surrendered its enriched uranium stockpiles and the international community has verified their removal. Not promises. Not signatures. Not future commitments.
The uranium itself.
Until then, every concession made by the West weakens its negotiating position while strengthening Iran's.
The objective should be simple: ensure that Iran loses its nuclear threat for a very long time.
If that means maintaining economic pressure until every kilogram of weapons-grade or near-weapons-grade uranium is removed from Iranian control, so be it.
Such an outcome would create an interesting political problem for Tehran.
The regime could still declare victory to its domestic audience. It could boast about standing up to America. It could stage rallies and issue triumphant press releases.
But beneath the propaganda would lie an uncomfortable reality.
Its nuclear leverage would be gone.
Israel and the United States would know it.
Iran would know it.
And the world would be safer because of it.
History teaches us that trust is earned through actions, not promises. Iran's rulers have spent decades exhausting the world's supply of goodwill. Before any new agreement is signed, Western leaders should remember that simple fact.
The question is not whether Iran can make promises.
The question is whether anyone should still believe them.





