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Welcome to Grappy's Soap Box - a platform for insightful commentary on politics, media, free speech, climate change, and more, focusing on Australia, the USA, and global perspectives.

Sunday, 30 August 2026

Weekly Roundup - Top Articles and Commentary from Week 36 of 2026

     

Here are links to some selected articles of interest and our posts from this week.





Cartoon of the Day




We welcome all feedback; please feel free to submit your comments or contact me via email at grappysb@gmail.com or on X at @grappysb

Climate, Energy and Prosperity: The Debate That Shapes Our Future



Few issues reach as deeply into modern life as climate change and energy.

Climate change begins as a scientific question: How much is the Earth warming? How much is caused by human activity? What might happen in the decades ahead?

But deciding what we should do about it takes us much further.

It involves engineering, economics, politics, international relations and ethics. It affects electricity prices, transport, industry, agriculture, government spending and ultimately our cost of living.

At the centre of it all is energy.

Energy and the Modern World

Modern civilisation depends upon abundant, reliable and affordable energy. It powers our homes, hospitals, factories, transport and communications. Fossil fuels also provide raw materials for fertilisers, plastics, pharmaceuticals and countless everyday products.

Yet burning fossil fuels produces greenhouse gases, and governments around the world have committed enormous resources to reducing emissions.

That creates one of the great policy dilemmas of our age:

How do we reduce our environmental impact without undermining the prosperity and technological capacity that make modern civilisation possible?

There are no simple answers.

Beyond "Is Climate Change Real?"

The Earth has warmed since the nineteenth century, and human greenhouse-gas emissions contribute to that warming.

But that does not settle the debate.

How much future warming should we expect? How reliable are climate models? How much damage will warming cause? How much can we adapt? And, most importantly, which policies provide the greatest benefit for their cost?

Those questions deserve open examination.

So do the proposed solutions.

Wind and solar offer low-emission electricity but are weather-dependent. Nuclear provides reliable low-carbon power but brings questions of cost, construction time and waste. Batteries and transmission networks have important roles but substantial costs. Electric vehicles eliminate tailpipe emissions but require considerably more mineral extraction.

Every technology involves trade-offs.

The Economic Question

Energy prices flow through almost everything we buy.

More expensive electricity increases the cost of manufacturing, mining, construction, transport, food and services. Industries that depend upon cheap energy can become uncompetitive or move overseas.

Climate policy therefore cannot be assessed simply by counting tonnes of CO₂ avoided.

We also need to ask:

What does it cost? What does it achieve? And are there better ways of achieving the same objective?

That is particularly important with Net Zero, which potentially involves transforming electricity generation, transport, industry, agriculture and buildings over just a few decades.

The Moral Questions

Climate policy also raises questions that cannot be answered by climate models.

Today's wealthy countries achieved their prosperity using abundant coal, oil and gas. Billions of people in developing nations are still seeking the reliable electricity, clean water, refrigeration, transport, hospitals and industry that we take for granted.

Do wealthy countries have the right to deny poorer countries access to inexpensive energy?

And who should bear the greatest burden of reducing emissions: today's largest emitters, the countries responsible for the greatest historical emissions, or everyone equally?

There is another moral question closer to home.

Governments routinely restrict individual freedom for the common good. But how far should that extend in pursuing climate objectives?

Should governments determine which cars we drive, which appliances we use or which technologies generate our electricity? How much additional cost can reasonably be imposed on today's population to obtain benefits expected decades into the future?

There are legitimate arguments on both sides.

A Continuing Conversation

I have been writing about climate change and energy since Grappy's Soapbox began.

My views have evolved as the evidence, technology and politics have changed—and I expect they will continue to do so.

This page therefore isn't intended to provide the final word.

It is a gateway to the discussion.

Below is a selection of previous posts examining the science, economics, technology and ethics of climate and energy policy. New articles will be added as the debate develops.


Explore Climate & Energy

Climate Science & Evidence

Six Charts Put Climate Alarmism into Perspective
A recent look at claims surrounding extreme weather, fires, floods, disease and mortality in their historical context.

The Real Climate Deniers, Those Who Want to Erase the Past
Why historical climate records matter when assessing claims about today's climate.

The Sunlight Shuffle: John Clauser's Revelation Shakes Up Climate Models
Nobel laureate John Clauser's challenge to aspects of climate modelling, particularly the role of clouds and reflected sunlight.

Credo on Climate Change
An early attempt to set out my position in what was already becoming a highly polarised debate.

Is the World Warming … to Climate Change?
One of my earliest examinations of climate change and the evidence surrounding it.


Net Zero, Energy & Economics

The Australian Net Zero Cost Clock
An ongoing attempt to make at least some of the costs of Australia's Net Zero policies visible.

Is Net Zero Desirable?
A discussion of whether eliminating fossil fuels is practical—or even desirable—given their role in modern civilisation.

Abundant Energy Drives the Modern World
The relationship between affordable energy, economic development and human prosperity.

Australia's Renewables Obsession
Examining the implications of Australia's rapid transition towards wind and solar generation.

Net Zero Destroys the Economy
Considering the wider economic consequences of expensive energy and Net Zero policies.


Renewables, Nuclear & Technology

Is Spain the Canary in the Renewables Coalmine?
What Spain's major blackout might tell us about electricity systems containing large amounts of intermittent generation.

Intermittent Renewables Cause Grid Instability
The engineering challenge of maintaining a stable electricity grid as wind and solar generation increase.

What the Heck Is Thorium?
An early look at thorium reactors and their potential role in low-carbon energy generation.

EVs: Green Dream or Environmental Mirage?
Looking beyond tailpipe emissions to battery production, critical minerals, mining and the broader environmental footprint of electric vehicles.


Climate Justice & Who Should Pay?

In 2015 I wrote a five-part series attempting to answer a deceptively simple question:

What would constitute a fair global greenhouse-gas reduction target?

Seeking a Fair GHG Reduction Target — Part 1: The Problem

Part 2: Current Climate Change Measures Are Misleading

Part 3: Misleading Measures — Misleading World Ranking

Part 4: Propositions for Consensus

Part 5: Who Is Responsible?

And two related articles:

Climate Change Theatrics, Again!
Why historical emissions as well as current emissions matter when considering national responsibility.

Is Australia One of the Worst Net Emitters in the OECD?
An examination of how national emissions performance is measured and compared.


Where Next?

The climate and energy debate will not stand still.

Technology will change. Climate observations will accumulate. Electricity systems will evolve. Governments will change policy. Some predictions will prove correct and others will not.

This article will evolve with them.

New Climate & Energy posts will be added here, and older posts revisited where new evidence warrants it.

The objective is not to defend a fixed position. It is to keep asking the questions that matter:

What is happening? How serious is it? What can realistically be done? What will it cost? Who should pay? And what unintended consequences might follow?

Last updated: August 2026

Thursday, 27 August 2026

What If the COVID Case Numbers Were Wrong?




One of the foundations of the world's response to COVID was the PCR test.

Every evening we watched the number of new "cases". Those numbers drove public fear and helped governments justify lockdowns, border closures, mask mandates, school closures and, eventually, vaccine mandates.

But what if those numbers substantially overstated the number of people actually infected?

A remarkable peer-reviewed German study highlighted recently by Dr John Campbell, titled "PCR Massively Wrong", raises precisely that question.

The German study

The study, published in Frontiers in Epidemiology, analysed PCR and antibody testing data from Germany's ALM consortium of accredited medical laboratories. These laboratories conducted approximately 90% of Germany's SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing during the pandemic.

The researchers compared positive PCR results with subsequent IgG antibody evidence of infection.

Their conclusion was startling.

They estimated that only about 14% — and possibly as few as 10% — of PCR-positive individuals were actually infected, as inferred from the antibody data.

Put another way, their analysis suggests that 86–90% of positive PCR results may not have represented genuine infections as they defined them.

That does not mean researchers have taken individual PCR tests and demonstrated an 86–90% laboratory false-positive rate. The German study uses population-level PCR and antibody data to reach its conclusion, and its assumptions will undoubtedly be challenged.

But even allowing for that qualification, the discrepancy is enormous.

For readers interested in how PCR testing works and the reasoning behind the study, I recommend watching Dr John Campbell's explanation and reading the original peer-reviewed German study.

Why does it matter?

Because PCR-positive "cases" became one of the principal measures by which governments judged the severity of the pandemic.

Rising case numbers were used to justify extraordinary restrictions on normal life.

Businesses were closed. Children were kept out of school. Borders were shut. Families were separated. People were prevented from visiting dying relatives. Governments accumulated enormous debts. Eventually millions of people faced vaccination requirements to work, travel or participate normally in society.

COVID was real, and it undoubtedly killed many people, particularly among the elderly and vulnerable.

But that does not answer a different question:

Was the scale of the threat substantially exaggerated by the way we measured it?

If this German analysis is even approximately correct, that question demands serious investigation.

The COVID story keeps changing

Perhaps the most disturbing legacy of COVID was the insistence that "the science was settled".

It wasn't.

The lab-leak theory moved from being dismissed as a conspiracy theory to a legitimate subject of investigation. Claims about vaccines preventing infection and transmission proved far less durable than originally suggested. Questions about adverse effects continue to emerge. Excess mortality remains a subject of debate.

And now a peer-reviewed study is questioning the reliability of the very "case" numbers that dominated our lives.

This doesn't prove that every pandemic policy was wrong. Nor does one study settle the PCR debate.

But it provides another reason why the COVID years deserve a thorough and independent reassessment.

The COVID story on Grappy's Soap Box

I have followed this evolving story for several years. For readers interested in exploring it further:

The mRNA Story Is Not Finished Yet — Why continuing evidence about the behaviour and persistence of mRNA vaccines deserves investigation.

Pandemic Excess Mortality 2025 — Excess mortality remained elevated years after the pandemic, raising questions that still deserve answers.

On the Grapevine — COVID Archive — A continuing collection of research, reports and videos questioning aspects of the pandemic response, vaccines and excess mortality.

Grapevine 2023 — COVID, Excess Deaths and Origins — Earlier material covering excess deaths, vaccine safety, parliamentary debate and the origins of COVID.

The picture is still incomplete. Some of today's conclusions may themselves be revised as better evidence emerges.

That is how science is supposed to work.

What should never happen again is for legitimate questions to be silenced simply because the answers might be inconvenient.

Five years later, perhaps the most important lesson of COVID is very simple:

Never confuse "the science" with science.



Wednesday, 26 August 2026

A Life Lived Well

Uploaded Image

Dolly Parton has left us.

Most celebrities leave behind songs, headlines, and carefully managed images. Dolly left behind results.

In her own county she looked at a 30-plus percent high-school dropout rate and decided that was unacceptable. She pulled the seventh and eighth graders together, made them pick a buddy, and offered $500 to each pair if both graduated. The dropout rate fell to around 6 percent. She handed out the cheques herself.

When Gatlinburg burned in 2016 she didn’t issue a statement and move on. She put $1,000 a month into the hands of hundreds of families who had lost their homes, then topped it up with another $5,000 each when the fund did better than expected. The leftover millions went to the long, unglamorous work of recovery after the cameras left.

She helped get a proper hospital built in Sevier County so her people didn’t have to drive hours for care. She paid for the education of Dollywood workers — full-time, part-time and seasonal. She quietly funded a sanctuary for bald eagles that couldn’t be released. When Hurricane Helene tore through the mountains she wrote a personal cheque for a million dollars and matched it through her companies.

And the Imagination Library — millions of books mailed to children because her own father never learned to read — may be the thing that outlasts everything else.

None of this required a government program, a press release template, or a hashtag campaign. It required someone who remembered where she came from and decided that success carried obligations.

That is rarer than talent.

Rest easy, Dolly.
A life lived well.





Monday, 24 August 2026

Weekly Roundup - Top Articles and Commentary from Week 35 of 2026

    

Here are links to some selected articles of interest and our posts from this week.





Cartoon of the Day




We welcome all feedback; please feel free to submit your comments or contact me via email at grappysb@gmail.com or on X at @grappysb