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Sunday, 15 February 2026

Before the Next Pandemic Arrives


Four years on from the height of the pandemic panic, one might assume we would now have a calm, measured, fully transparent assessment of what actually happened.

We don’t.

A recent and very detailed review published by TrialSite News titled “Adverse Health Effects of COVID-19 Vaccines: An Updated Review of the PubMed Literature” attempts to step back from the noise and examine what the peer-reviewed literature actually says about the safety and efficacy of the COVID mRNA vaccines.

It is a long and technical piece. But stripped of jargon, its message is simple:

The story is more complicated than we were told.

And we still haven’t properly reckoned with it.

What the Review Actually Did

This wasn’t a new clinical trial.

It was something arguably more important: a structured review of published studies indexed in PubMed, looking at reported adverse effects, safety signals, and evolving evidence around vaccine effectiveness.

In other words, it examined what the scientific literature itself has accumulated since mass vaccination began.

The review drew together:

  • Phase 3 clinical trial data

  • Post-marketing surveillance reports

  • Observational studies

  • Published analyses of adverse event databases

  • Research on waning immunity and variant performance

Rather than focusing on a single dataset, it looked at the broader body of evidence.

And when you step back and look at the whole picture, nuance appears.

The Efficacy Narrative — What Changed?

At the beginning, the vaccines were presented as extraordinarily effective — particularly against symptomatic infection.

But those early claims were based on relative risk reductions measured over short trial windows under emergency conditions.

Over time, several realities became clear:

  • Protection against infection waned.

  • Effectiveness against emerging variants declined.

  • Booster doses became necessary to sustain protection.

None of this makes the vaccines “useless.” But it does mean the early messaging — implying near-complete control of transmission — did not hold up in the real world.

That matters.

Because public trust depends on proportional claims.

Safety Signals — Rare Doesn’t Mean Irrelevant

The review also addresses adverse events.

Regulators have consistently described serious side effects as “rare.” Statistically, that may be true. But when billions of doses are administered, even rare events can affect large numbers of people.

The literature now documents associations with:

  • Myocarditis (particularly in younger males)

  • Thrombotic events

  • Neurological and autoimmune-related conditions

Causality in every case is complex and debated. But the point is not that every reported event was vaccine-caused.

The point is that the safety picture is not binary.

It never was.

And long-term surveillance was, by necessity, limited when mass rollout began.

The Real Issue: Process, Not Panic

The most important section of the review is its final reflection.

It argues — correctly in my view — that we have not yet conducted a thorough, independent, society-wide evaluation of:

  • How emergency authorisations were granted

  • How trial data were interpreted

  • How dissenting voices were treated

  • How risk communication was handled

  • Whether safety monitoring systems were adequate

During a crisis, speed was prioritised.

That is understandable.

What is not understandable is the ongoing reluctance to conduct a serious, transparent inquiry into what worked, what didn’t, and what should never be repeated.

The Lesson for the Next Pandemic

There will be another pandemic.

When it comes, we will again face urgency. Again face fear. Again face pressure to act quickly.

If we do not honestly assess the COVID response — including vaccine policy — we risk repeating:

  • Overconfident messaging

  • Compressed testing timelines

  • Suppression of debate

  • Regulatory groupthink

Scientific uncertainty should not be treated as settled science simply because urgency demands clarity.

Trust is not built through censorship or dismissal. It is built through openness and accountability.

A Serious Inquiry Is Not Anti-Science

It is pro-science.

Holding authorities to account is not an attack on medicine. It is a safeguard for it.

If mistakes were made, they must be acknowledged.
If risks were under-communicated, that must be examined.
If benefits were overstated in public messaging, that too must be scrutinised.

The alternative is silence.

And silence guarantees repetition.

Final Thought

The pandemic demanded rapid decisions. That much is true.

But urgency does not excuse the absence of review.

The next crisis will test not only our medical systems — but our honesty.

If we are unwilling to seriously examine the COVID mRNA vaccine rollout now, we will have learned nothing at all.

And that would be the most dangerous outcome of all.


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